BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Arizona St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 102 Overall: (11-20) Overall Strength =   37.86
Conference: Pacific 12 Record: (3-16) | District: 1-01 Record: (3-17)

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-06-2023 Home    W    46.71  70  55    1 130 ( 18- 15) Texas-San Antonio       8.85      6.15                      
  2 11-10-2023 Home    W    42.09  75  62    1 150 ( 17- 16) Montana St              4.23      8.77                      
  3 11-13-2023 Home    W    36.88  77  69    1 154 ( 14- 16) San Francisco          -0.98      8.98                      
  4 11-16-2023 Away    L    23.63  67  70    1 230 ( 23- 10) Grambling             -14.23     11.23                      
  5 11-19-2023 Home    W    55.57  72  40    1 213 ( 11- 19) Idaho St               17.71     14.29                      
  6 11-23-2023 Neutral L    24.55  42  84    1   4 ( 33-  5) Texas                 -13.31 *  -28.69                      
  7 11-24-2023 Neutral W    54.51  66  49    1 106 ( 19- 14) South Florida          16.64      0.36                      
  8 11-25-2023 Neutral W    27.35  77  69    1 273 ( 20- 12) High Point            -10.51     18.51                      
  9 12-01-2023 Home    W    40.50  76  66    1 139 ( 19- 15) Pacific                 2.64      7.36                      
 10 12-08-2023 Home    L    28.24  59  66    1 101 ( 24-  8) Grand Canyon           -9.62      2.62                      
 11 12-17-2023 Home    L *   9.84  52  91    1  35 ( 18- 16) Arizona               -28.02    -10.98                      
 12 12-20-2023 Neutral W    30.91  80  76    1 202 ( 15- 18) Fresno St              -6.95     10.95                      
 13 12-30-2023 Home    L    28.62  55  65    1  77 ( 25-  9) Santa Clara            -9.25     -0.75                      
 14 01-05-2024 Home    L *  39.72  41  58    1  13 ( 23- 11) Utah                    1.85    -18.85                      
 15 01-07-2024 Home    L *  43.34  68  81    1  14 ( 24- 10) Colorado                5.48    -18.48                      
 16 01-12-2024 Away    L *  30.25  53  65    1  92 ( 11- 21) Oregon                 -7.61     -4.39                      
 17 01-14-2024 Away    L *  23.53  55  92    1  18 ( 27-  8) Oregon St             -14.33    -22.67                      
 18 01-19-2024 Away    L *  39.76  64  79    1  32 ( 21- 15) Washington St           1.90    -16.90                      
 19 01-21-2024 Away    W *  59.43  73  65    1  47 ( 16- 15) Washington             21.57    -13.57                      
 20 01-26-2024 Home    L *  31.17  50  80    1   7 ( 30-  6) Stanford               -6.69    -23.31                      
 21 01-28-2024 Home    W *  48.03  76  71    1  57 ( 19- 15) California             10.16     -5.16                      
 22 02-04-2024 Away    L *  43.13  52  63    1  35 ( 18- 16) Arizona                 5.27    -16.27                      
 23 02-09-2024 Away    L *  44.71  63  81    1  11 ( 29-  6) Southern Cal            6.85    -24.85                      
 24 02-11-2024 Away    L *  33.67  45  78    1   6 ( 27-  7) UCLA                   -4.19 *  -28.81                      
 25 02-16-2024 Home    W *  53.14  73  66 2  1  47 ( 16- 15) Washington             15.28     -8.28                      
 26 02-18-2024 Home    L *  22.47  46  73    1  32 ( 21- 15) Washington St         -15.39    -11.61                      
 27 02-23-2024 Away    L *  36.32  55  67    1  57 ( 19- 15) California             -1.54    -10.46                      
 28 02-25-2024 Away    L *  52.46  67  81    1   7 ( 30-  6) Stanford               14.60 *  -28.60                      
 29 02-29-2024 Home    L *  32.38  41  70    1   6 ( 27-  7) UCLA                   -5.48    -23.52                      
 30 03-02-2024 Home    L *  42.41  55  70    1  11 ( 29-  6) Southern Cal            4.55    -19.55                      
 31 03-06-2024 Neutral L *  48.36  60  71    1  13 ( 23- 11) Utah                   10.50    -21.50                      
      Averages              37.86  61.5 70.1

Best game:   59.43 = 8 point win over Washington
Worst game:   9.84 = 39 point loss to Arizona
Team stdev:  11.62